IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Florida International
Conference USA
2019-20

Overall
Predictive Rating	-1.9	#185
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	92.0	#1
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+0.8	#143

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-2.7	#246

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	3.3%	5.7%	3.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.1%	0.5%	0.1%
Average Seed	13.8	12.9	14.0

.500 or above	43.8%	71.6%	41.3%
.500 or above in Conference	44.4%	61.3%	42.9%
Conference Champion	4.1%	8.4%	3.8%
Last Place in Conference	11.6%	5.3%	12.2%

First Four	0.2%	0.5%	0.2%
First Round	3.2%	5.4%	3.0%
Second Round	0.4%	0.7%	0.4%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Mississippi St. (Away) - 8.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 3
Quad 2	1 - 3	1 - 5
Quad 3	3 - 5	4 - 10
Quad 4	8 - 3	12 - 13

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 05, 2019	48	@ Mississippi St.	L	77-92	8%
Nov 13, 2019	22	@ North Carolina St.	L	83-101	5%
Nov 19, 2019	311	@ Cleveland St.	W	88-84	64%
Nov 22, 2019	274	Eastern Kentucky	W	101-97	66%
Nov 23, 2019	268	UNC Wilmington	W	92-88	63%
Nov 30, 2019	334	New Hampshire	W	83-70	87%
Dec 04, 2019	257	Florida Gulf Coast	W	87-81	71%
Dec 07, 2019	320	@ Kennesaw St.	W	87-82	67%
Dec 22, 2019	336	@ Stetson	W	91-84	73%
Dec 28, 2019	70	@ Minnesota	L	78-90	14%
Jan 02, 2020	169	UTEP	W	83-81	55%
Jan 04, 2020	121	Texas San Antonio	L	91-93	43%
Jan 09, 2020	152	@ North Texas	L	75-81	32%
Jan 11, 2020	229	@ Rice	L	89-90	46%
Jan 16, 2020	140	UAB	L	80-81	50%
Jan 18, 2020	174	Middle Tennessee	W	84-82	57%
Jan 23, 2020	139	@ Old Dominion	L	72-78	30%
Jan 25, 2020	276	@ Charlotte	W	78-77	55%
Jan 30, 2020	188	Marshall	W	97-94	60%
Feb 01, 2020	76	Western Kentucky	L	82-88	32%
Feb 05, 2020	163	Florida Atlantic	W	83-82	54%
Feb 08, 2020	163	@ Florida Atlantic	L	80-85	34%
Feb 13, 2020	116	@ Louisiana Tech	L	77-85	24%
Feb 15, 2020	238	@ Southern Miss	L	79-80	47%
Projected Record						11 - 13	6 - 8

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Conference USA Finish

	0-14	1-13	2-12	3-11	4-10	5-9	6-8	7-7	8-6	9-5	10-4	11-3	12-2	13-1	14-0		Total
1st										0.0	0.6	1.4	1.4	0.6	0.1		4.1	1st
2nd									0.0	0.7	2.2	1.6	0.4	0.0			4.9	2nd
3rd								0.0	0.5	2.7	2.5	0.4	0.0				6.1	3rd
4th								0.1	2.2	3.3	0.8	0.0					6.4	4th
5th							0.0	1.2	4.3	1.5	0.1						7.1	5th
6th							0.2	3.8	3.3	0.2							7.5	6th
7th						0.0	2.1	5.0	0.7	0.0							7.9	7th
8th					0.0	0.7	5.5	2.4	0.1								8.7	8th
9th					0.1	3.3	4.4	0.4	0.0								8.2	9th
10th				0.1	1.6	5.2	1.6	0.0									8.5	10th
11th			0.0	0.7	4.5	3.0	0.2										8.5	11th
12th		0.0	0.4	3.2	4.0	0.7	0.0										8.3	12th
13th		0.4	2.4	3.6	1.2	0.0											7.7	13th
14th	0.7	2.1	2.4	0.9	0.1												6.2	14th

Total	0.7	2.6	5.3	8.5	11.6	13.0	14.0	12.9	11.1	8.4	6.1	3.4	1.8	0.6	0.1			Total

Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
14-0	100.0%	0.1		0.1
13-1	99.5%	0.6		0.5	0.1
12-2	77.6%	1.4		0.8	0.5	0.1	0.0
11-3	41.4%	1.4		0.3	0.7	0.3	0.1	0.0
10-4	9.7%	0.6		0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0
9-5	0.2%	0.0				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
8-6	0.0%
7-7	0.0%

Total	4.1%	4.1		1.8	1.5	0.6	0.2	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
14-0	0.1%		40.5%	24.1%	16.3%	11.8					0.0						0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0			0.1		21.5%
13-1	0.6%		35.8%	30.6%	5.2%	11.7							0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0			0.4		7.5%
12-2	1.8%		26.8%	26.0%	0.9%	12.7											0.0	0.0	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0		1.3		1.2%
11-3	3.4%		15.8%	15.4%	0.4%	13.3												0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0	2.9		0.5%
10-4	6.1%		10.0%	10.0%		13.9												0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.2	0.0	5.5
9-5	8.4%		6.1%	6.1%		14.5													0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	7.9
8-6	11.1%		3.9%	3.9%	0.0%	14.7													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	10.7		0.0%
7-7	12.9%		1.8%	1.8%		15.2														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	12.7
6-8	14.0%		0.8%	0.8%		15.4															0.0	0.0	0.1	13.8
5-9	13.0%		0.6%	0.6%		15.8																0.0	0.1	12.9
4-10	11.6%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	11.6
3-11	8.5%																							8.5
2-12	5.3%																							5.3
1-13	2.6%																							2.6
0-14	0.7%																							0.7

Total	100%		3.3%	3.2%	0.1%	13.8					0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.5	0.6	0.8	0.8	0.4	96.7		0.1%